Economic calendar
Every economic release this week and next, in your time zone: forecast, previous and the actual a minute after it prints, plus live Kalshi and Polymarket odds on the Fed, CPI and jobs. Information only.
This week's high and medium impact releases
| When (UTC) | Release | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Versus forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct, 12:30 UTC | Canada CPI m/m | 0.1% | 0.2% | -0.1% | below forecast |
| Mon 19 Oct, 12:30 UTC | Canada Trimmed CPI y/y | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | below forecast |
| Mon 19 Oct, 12:30 UTC | Canada Median CPI y/y | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | below forecast |
| Mon 19 Oct, 12:30 UTC | Canada Common CPI y/y | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | below forecast |
| Tue 20 Oct, 06:00 UTC | UK Average Earnings Index 3m/y | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | below forecast |
| Wed 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC | UK CPI y/y | 3.4% | 3.1% | ||
| Wed 21 Oct, 13:00 UTC | UK BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | ||||
| Wed 21 Oct, 21:45 UTC | New Zealand CPI q/q | 0.8% | 1.5% | ||
| Thu 22 Oct, 12:30 UTC | US Unemployment Claims | 200K | 199K | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC | UK Retail Sales m/m | -0.1% | 0.5% | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 07:15 UTC | Euro Area French Flash Manufacturing PMI | 50.5 | 50.3 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 07:15 UTC | Euro Area French Flash Services PMI | 50.7 | 51.4 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 07:30 UTC | Euro Area German Flash Manufacturing PMI | 53.5 | 53.8 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 07:30 UTC | Euro Area German Flash Services PMI | 52.5 | 52.9 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 08:30 UTC | UK Flash Manufacturing PMI | 51.8 | 52.0 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 08:30 UTC | UK Flash Services PMI | 51.8 | 51.7 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 13:45 UTC | US Flash Manufacturing PMI | 55.4 | 57.0 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 13:45 UTC | US Flash Services PMI | 57.8 | 58.7 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 14:00 UTC | US Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment | 46.3 | 46.3 | ||
| Fri 23 Oct, 14:00 UTC | US Revised UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.7% |
Market moments with live Kalshi and Polymarket odds
- Meta earnings (META) — Wed 21 Oct, 21:05 UTC
- Tesla earnings (TSLA) — Wed 21 Oct, 21:05 UTC
- Robinhood earnings (HOOD) — Tue 27 Oct, 21:05 UTC
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel — Wed 28 Oct, 03:59 UTC. The market sees a 28% chance Netanyahu will be Israel's next PM, down 1 point in 24 hours.
- Fed decision, October 2026 — Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 UTC. The market expects no Fed rate change in Oct 2026 at 88%, up 1 point, though Polymarket and my fair-odds check see it at 87%.
- Microsoft earnings (MSFT) — Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 UTC
- Alphabet earnings (GOOGL) — Wed 28 Oct, 21:05 UTC
- Strategy earnings (MSTR) — Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 UTC
- Amazon earnings (AMZN) — Thu 29 Oct, 21:05 UTC
- Coinbase earnings (COIN) — Thu 29 Oct, 21:05 UTC
- Q3 2026 GDP, first estimate — Fri 30 Oct, 12:30 UTC. The market sees Q3 2026 GDP above 3.0% as most likely at 68%, down 2 points in 24h, while my fair-odds check puts it at 54%.
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 — Sat 31 Oct, 20:29 UTC. The market puts the odds of the Israel x Iran ceasefire continuing through October 31 at 87%, up 1 point in the last day.
- World Series 2026: who wins — Sat 31 Oct, 23:55 UTC. The market still picks the Milwaukee Brewers to win the 2026 World Series at 62%, holding steady, while the Tampa Bay Rays gained 5 points to 38%.
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 — Sat 31 Oct, 23:59 UTC. The market puts the US-Iran ceasefire continuing through October 31 at 82%, a 3-point jump today.
- Apple earnings (AAPL) — Mon 2 Nov, 21:05 UTC
- US midterm elections — Tue 3 Nov, 23:00 UTC
- Treasury quarterly refunding, November 2026 — Wed 4 Nov, 13:30 UTC
- October jobs report — Fri 6 Nov, 13:30 UTC. The market expects October jobs above 70,000 at 57%, with my fair-odds check at 55%; the chance of unemployment above 4.0% climbed 3 points.
- October CPI — Tue 10 Nov, 13:30 UTC. The market sees October CPI above 0.2% at 71%, up 8 points in 24h, though my fair-odds check puts it at 57%.
- Ethereum Fusaka (target Q4 2026) — Sun 15 Nov, 00:00 UTC
- Devconnect 2026 — Mon 16 Nov, 00:00 UTC
- Nvidia earnings (NVDA) — Tue 17 Nov, 21:05 UTC
- G20 Leaders' Summit 2026 — Sat 21 Nov, 00:00 UTC
- November jobs report — Fri 4 Dec, 13:30 UTC
- Solana Breakpoint 2026 — Wed 9 Dec, 00:00 UTC
Release pages
- US CPI inflation report
- US CPI inflation rate (year on year)
- US core CPI inflation report
- US core CPI inflation rate (year on year)
- US jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)
- US unemployment rate
- US wage growth (average hourly earnings)
- Fed interest rate decision
- US GDP report (advance estimate)
- US GDP report (second estimate)
- US PCE inflation report (core PCE)
- US PPI producer inflation report
- US core PPI report
- US retail sales report
- US core retail sales report
- US jobless claims report
- JOLTS job openings report
- ISM manufacturing PMI
- ISM services PMI
- University of Michigan consumer sentiment
- ECB interest rate decision
- Eurozone inflation flash estimate
- Bank of England interest rate decision
- UK CPI inflation report
- UK GDP (monthly)
- Bank of Japan interest rate decision
- Bank of Canada interest rate decision
- Canada CPI inflation report
- RBA interest rate decision
- RBNZ interest rate decision
Add every release to your own calendar: korra.finance/calendar.ics (Google Calendar, Apple Calendar or Outlook). Information only, not investment advice.
