October CPI

Tue 10 Nov, 13:30 UTC

The market sees October CPI above 0.2% at 71%, up 8 points in 24h, though my fair-odds check puts it at 57%.

What the prediction markets price

• Above 0.0%: 97%
• Above 0.1%: 85%
• Above 0.2%: 71%
• Above 0.3%: 33%
• Above 0.4%: 12%
• Core CPI: Above 0.0%: 95%
• Core CPI: Above 0.1%: 82%
• Core CPI: Above 0.2%: 47%
• Core CPI: Above 0.3%: 15%
• Core CPI: Above 0.4%: 4%

Live odds from Kalshi and Polymarket. Information only, not investment advice. See the full economic calendar